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분석자료/해외분석글

[EPL] 크리스털팰리스 vs 본머스

 

 

Crystal Palace 1-2 Bournemouth

 

The last day of the season should see both Crystal Palace and Bournemouth playing with some freedom as they are simply fighting for their final places in the Premier League, but even that is not enough for me to understand the ridiculously short price on seeing at least three goals shared out.

It may happen as these teams have gelled well with each other in the last couple of years, but Crystal Palace's poor record for goals at home would be a big concern for me if I was backing goals at such a price.

Crystal Palace have found it difficult to force themselves to dictate the play as they have had to do at home and things have been much rosier for them on their travels where the counter attack can be very effective. They are facing a Bournemouth team who have struggled away from home for the last few months since a strong start to the season, but The Cherries have lost just 1 of their last 4 away from home and have been scoring plenty of goals.

With a strong record at Selhurst Park, Bournemouth could easily do enough in the final third to get a result and backing them with the start on the Asian Handicap is the play. They have won 2 of their last 4 away games in the League and if Bournemouth can score at least twice, like they have in 3 of those away games, I think it will be very difficult for Crystal Palace to find the goals to win the game.

Last day fixtures can produce very strange results and maybe Crystal Palace do score the goals that have been lacking here all season, but the right play looks to be backing Bournemouth with the start.